Being a political junkie, I religiously followed and tracked the very excellent fivethirtyeight.com during the last election.
538 pairs the most recent polls with some strong statistical analysis to forecast and predicts local, state, and national elections. And he (Ben Silver) has an amazing track record.
Before politics, he used his data analysis skills to make a killing in fantasty football and baseball.
the man is a genious with excel, and he has an interesting take on the current economic climate. check it out, its in Esquire magazine
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