Academy Awards Post Party

Earlier yesterday [link], I posted about the predictive markets on intrade, and how the "market" thought the Oscars would fall. 

Now that the winners have been announced, we can see how close the markets were:

Spot On:

• Cinematography - Slumdog
• Animated Feature - Wall E
• Director - Danny Boyle (Slumdog)
• Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz (Vicky Christina Barcelona)
• Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
• Actress - Kate Winslet (The Reader)
• Best Picture - Slumdog

Off:

• Actor - picked Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler) by a wide margin to win.  In reality, Sean Penn won his 2nd Oscar instead

So, to recap, the intrade markets are fun to pay attention to, and are actually pretty acurate.